Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 301.044792 341.761639 387.373117 442.522139 507.752526 582.885605 676.604332
2025-01-12 238.415323 290.633102 354.632055 439.896127 552.124005 697.112676 902.468579
2025-01-19 196.431999 250.150139 319.782874 418.520758 558.042202 753.106112 1055.754811
2025-01-26 180.333529 238.532577 317.780207 436.626660 615.906226 886.026497 1344.294345
2025-02-02 170.063928 232.524444 321.347008 461.438512 685.867915 1048.781022 1720.609316
2025-02-09 155.596180 218.340189 310.681301 462.349499 717.618293 1155.649088 2030.171033
2025-02-16 140.594020 201.468228 293.592435 450.048268 724.493279 1219.939883 2276.878518
2025-02-23 128.638704 187.857190 279.774960 440.750158 734.220190 1290.137196 2554.992995
2025-03-02 122.542774 182.639771 278.517855 452.183871 782.670138 1443.815439 3065.130314
2025-03-09 115.129149 174.546892 271.561388 452.410854 809.584068 1559.312772 3526.785524
2025-03-16 106.998614 164.538870 260.321419 443.255442 816.177632 1632.296672 3906.818492
2025-03-23 101.456211 158.351185 255.004610 444.413962 843.904277 1758.849381 4485.975890
2025-03-30 94.576714 149.507425 244.473295 434.787084 848.381717 1834.895579 4961.568380
2025-04-06 89.351166 143.140392 237.858105 432.223258 868.368830 1955.586949 5644.936297
2025-04-13 82.178937 132.819852 223.092994 411.306566 842.916534 1951.921182 5899.823696
2025-04-20 80.626558 132.380985 226.684500 429.024166 911.770563 2223.756845 7339.008559
2025-04-27 79.886491 133.328279 232.959549 453.297679 1001.736202 2586.467048 9434.745735
2025-05-04 76.542178 129.194740 228.922183 454.188767 1031.973260 2776.978910 10918.865226
2025-05-11 72.108991 122.715482 219.683973 442.155443 1025.629719 2847.474021 11865.962098
2025-05-18 68.325728 117.238583 212.059891 433.058689 1025.992415 2942.079864 13037.773048
2025-05-25 66.784510 115.969464 212.946831 444.244658 1086.021723 3269.734640 15939.763531
2025-06-01 64.325710 112.744950 209.487851 444.466708 1114.179321 3490.314634 18435.471161
2025-06-08 61.232649 108.082216 202.635738 435.509817 1113.059903 3596.696245 20259.645356